Intelligence Archive
All published SIAIntel reports available in this locale, ordered from newest to oldest.
High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) has transitioned from a commodity component to a strategic sovereign asset. The concentration of production in South Korea creates a 'Silicon Shield' that underwrites global AI li...
Data center power demand is colliding with grid capacity, utility capex, and bond markets. Here is how AI's electricity problem became a credit-market problem.
An $810 million data-center note backed by an Amazon lease shows the shift: AI power access is no longer just infrastructure. It is becoming collateral. That is the Dollar-Watt Loop.
The real AI risk is no longer model intelligence. It is the balance sheet. AI agents are turning compute demand, token burn, stablecoin payments and short-term government debt into a new financial loop.
Gulf capital is moving into Nvidia chips, data centers and power infrastructure. The next AI race may be decided by who controls compute, electricity and cloud capacity.
The Hormuz normalization gap shows why oil-price relief can arrive before shipping security, insurance terms, LNG flows and port operations have fully recovered.
The Fed is removing the market’s guidance cushion just as AI data centers turn electricity access into a capital-market risk.
A premium SIAIntel analysis of how the Warsh Fed held rates steady while dot-plot signals, Treasury yields, dollar pricing and energy risk lifted the global risk premium.
Japan's role as a major foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries is an early-warning signal for the global cost of capital. Higher domestic JGB yields and rising fiscal pressure are changing the incentives for one...
AI Power in Évian: Did Trump's "Greenland" Whisper Expose the New Northern Front of AI Geopolitics?
Global capital markets are pricing a multi-layered peace dividend as the US-Iran framework agreement targets the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
As EU data center capacity heads toward 28 GW by 2030, AI power demand is reshaping electricity prices, grid investment, industrial competitiveness and the green transition.
Bond volatility, oil shocks and currency pressure are converging into a new sovereign stress test for governments, companies and developing economies.
Analysis of MUFG, SMBC, and Mizuho's 2027 stablecoin plans. Analyzing how digital yen reserves and on-chain repo could reshape JGB demand and Asian settlement rails.
AI’s next bottleneck is moving beyond chips toward power grids, data-center infrastructure, nuclear energy agreements and capital intensity.
Japanese investors sold foreign equities and bought foreign bonds in May, sending a warning through U.S. Treasuries, tech stocks, the yen and global risk appetite.
AI growth is moving beyond chips as electricity, water, grid access, transformers and cooling capacity become the next strategic bottlenecks.
Treasuries are losing part of their hedge role as G7 debt stress, inflation risk and stock-bond correlation reshape global portfolio strategy.
Coinbase and Kalshi are bringing regulated crypto perpetual futures to U.S. traders, signaling a shift in how offshore crypto derivatives activity may enter supervised market infrastructure.
Japan's 30-year high bond yield and America's $1.9 trillion deficit projection are sending a global warning signal, from mortgages and pensions to emerging-market debt.
Pressure in the jet fuel market could make flexibility, cancellation rights and safer connection times more important than simply choosing the cheapest ticket this summer.
Google's energy and infrastructure partnerships reflect a shift toward securing carbon-free baseload power for large-scale AI computation.
OpenAI's reported IPO preparations could reshape how public markets evaluate frontier AI. Investors will scrutinize infrastructure costs, energy demands, governance, and regulatory risks.
The surge in AI data center investments by major technology companies is creating significant shifts in global semiconductor demand and power market dynamics. Companies are committing substantial capital to...