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© 2026 SIA Intelligence. All rights reserved.Independent intelligence analysis
Editor Priority/Economy

AI’s Capital Squeeze Reaches U.S. Treasuries

Waller says AI infrastructure is competing for capital as Norway’s fund proposes a sharp Treasury-weight cut. The signal is rotation, not dollar flight.

Sep 06, 20269 min read
95%source confidence
Read dossierComplete Archive
AI’s Capital Squeeze Reaches U.S. Treasuries article image
Intelligence Index
12Markets27Economy21AI & Infrastructure06Geopolitics & Energy01Crypto & Digital Money

Latest Intelligence

Complete Archive
Jul 24, 2026AI & Infrastructure

3 GW Vanished: Data Centers Shock America’s Largest Grid

More than 3 GW of data-center load vanished from PJM. See the hidden AI grid risk, investor impact, Virginia tax cost and next regulatory catalysts.

11 min read
98%source confidence
3 GW Vanished: Data Centers Shock America’s Largest Grid article image
98%source confidence
Jul 26, 2026AI & Infrastructure

Korea’s $950B AI Framework Reveals the Power Wall

Korea’s reported $950B AI framework links Nvidia, SK Hynix, Samsung, HBM4, sovereign AI factories and infrastructure finance to the power bottleneck.

14 min read
99%source confidence
Korea’s $950B AI Framework Reveals the Power Wall article image
99%source confidence
Jul 22, 2026AI & Infrastructure

AI’s Closed Capital Circuit Just Hit the Power Grid

AMD’s Anthropic investment, Amazon’s milestone-linked financing and OpenAI’s 25-year Georgia power deal expose the closed capital circuit behind AI infrastructure.

18 min read
98%source confidence
AI’s Closed Capital Circuit Just Hit the Power Grid article image
98%source confidence
Jul 14, 2026AI & Infrastructure

Texas Has 438 GW of Data-Center Requests. How Much Is Real?

Nearly 90% of ERCOT’s 438 GW queue comes from data centers. On August 7, Batch Zero will show which AI projects advance—and which remain speculative.

16 min read
Texas Has 438 GW of Data-Center Requests. How Much Is Real? article image
16 min read
Jul 21, 2026AI & Infrastructure

Wall Street May Be Underpricing the New AI Grid Rule

A five-stock event study and SEC-filed contracts show no durable equity discount after FERC—while power terms already reach project finance.

8 min read
94%source confidence
Wall Street May Be Underpricing the New AI Grid Rule article image
94%source confidence
Jul 16, 2026Economy

The $310B Stablecoin Deadline Passed. No Rules Arrived.

The July 18 GENIUS Act deadline passed without a coordinated final rulebook, leaving a $310 billion stablecoin market in a legally unfinished transition.

21 min read
96%source confidence
The $310B Stablecoin Deadline Passed. No Rules Arrived. article image
96%source confidence
Sep 05, 2026Geopolitics & Energy

Signal Confirmed: Hormuz Peace Dividend Reversed

Brent closed at $96.28 before U.S. tanker strikes. SIAIntel tests whether repeated Hormuz attacks can weaken the hidden oil-flow buffer.

8 min read
96%source confidence
Signal Confirmed: Hormuz Peace Dividend Reversed article image
96%source confidence
Sep 05, 2026Economy

AI’s $29.6B Loan Pulls Banks Into the Boom

ByteDance’s $29.6B unsecured loan shows AI funding moving onto global bank balance sheets as bonds, revolvers and private credit expand.

7 min read
94%source confidence
AI’s $29.6B Loan Pulls Banks Into the Boom article image
94%source confidence
Sep 02, 2026Economy

Europe’s Food Buffer Is Starting to Crack

A near-20-year low in EU maize output is arriving as Brazil loses access for key animal products. The hidden risk sits between feed, protein supply and food prices.

7 min read
93%source confidence
Europe’s Food Buffer Is Starting to Crack article image
93%source confidence
Sep 01, 2026Economy

Japan’s 3% Yield Tests the AI Debt Boom

Japan’s 10-year yield reached 3% as BOJ tightening and heavy AI debt issuance collided. The key signal is the hedge-adjusted capital shift.

7 min read
96%source confidence
Japan’s 3% Yield Tests the AI Debt Boom article image
96%source confidence
Aug 31, 2026Economy

AI Has Entered the Fed’s Reaction Function

AI’s investment boom may lift the neutral rate and bond yields before productivity lowers inflation. The Fed now faces a timing problem.

5 min read
97%source confidence
AI Has Entered the Fed’s Reaction Function article image
97%source confidence
Aug 30, 2026Geopolitics & Energy

Mecca Pact Moves From Promise to Production

The Mecca Pact enters its industrial test as Türkiye, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan prepare to discuss joint defence production in Istanbul.

6 min read
97%source confidence
Mecca Pact Moves From Promise to Production article image
97%source confidence
Aug 29, 2026Economy

Nvidia Pulls Back as AI Credit Loop Tightens

AI demand is still surging, but Nvidia's financing pullback shows capital quality is becoming the next constraint on the boom.

6 min read
98%source confidence
Nvidia Pulls Back as AI Credit Loop Tightens article image
98%source confidence
Aug 26, 2026Economy

AI Revenue Is Booming. Credit Is Getting Nervous

Nvidia's Q2 revenue beat expectations and its Q3 revenue guidance came in above consensus, but rising debt, guarantees and infrastructure finance leave demand quality unresolved.

4 min read
99%source confidence
AI Revenue Is Booming. Credit Is Getting Nervous article image
99%source confidence
Aug 23, 2026Economy

AI’s Hidden Inflation Loop Is Now Visible

AI’s 2026 buildout is linking bond supply, hyperscaler cash flow and grid costs. SIAIntel maps the feedback loop and introduces the ACPI framework.

14 min read
93%source confidence
AI’s Hidden Inflation Loop Is Now Visible article image
93%source confidence
Aug 15, 2026Geopolitics & Energy

Steel to KAAN: Türkiye's $20B Defense Test

Türkiye's defense boom now faces a harder test: turning steel, KAAN, finance and the Mecca Pact into bankable exports without hiding target and engine risks.

10 min read
92%source confidence
Steel to KAAN: Türkiye's $20B Defense Test article image
92%source confidence